CICC: US inflation may see an upward turning point in the next 1-2 months
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最新报道：According to Bijie.com, on August 8, CICC found that tariffs have actually caused a partial rebound in US inflation. However, flaws in the seasonal adjustment method have underestimated inflation by nearly 20 basis points over the past two months, and the CPI readings do not yet reflect the true extent of the inflation rebound. The CPI is projected to confirm an upward inflection point in the next one to two months, with confirmation as early as August 12. The year-on-year upward trend in the CPI may last for about a year, and the extent of the inflation increase can be estimated using input-output tables. The upward trend in US inflation could disrupt the Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate cuts, bringing new uncertainties to global assets.
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