最新报道:On July 4, Trump officially signed the "Big Beautiful Act", which will push up the fiscal deficit in the future, but part of the deficit can be offset by tariff revenue; the bill will boost real GDP by less than 0.5 percentage points in 2026, and will not push up inflation by more than 0.15 percentage points; in the next decade, the combination of US tariffs and tax cuts will increase the net deficit by about $1.3 trillion, and the deficit rate will remain at around 6%; given the current low unemployment rate, mild inflation, and healthy private sector balance sheets, there is no urgent risk to US government debt. [CICC]