HTX DeepThink: Market volatility under dual pressure from macroeconomic factors and liquidity, non-farm payroll data may become
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最新报道：According to Bijie.com, on September 29th, HTX Research researcher Chloe (@ChloeTalk1) noted in her HTX DeepThink column that the crypto market experienced significant volatility this week, driven by both macroeconomic and liquidity pressures. Intensive statements from central bank officials, coupled with seasonal factors, led to a significant decline in risk appetite. Bitcoin briefly approached the $110,000 mark, while Ethereum fell below $4,000. The overall trend resembled a volume-driven correction rather than a typical pullback. Options data showed that open interest (OI) remained high, but the skew was tilted bearishly, indicating increased downside protection by investors. Deribit's monthly large-volume expiration point is near $110,000; a break below this level could trigger passive hedging selling. Meanwhile, the RSIs for BTC and ETH are nearing oversold levels, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound. Chloe emphasized that this week's US economic data, particularly Friday's non-farm payroll report, is the biggest catalyst for the market. If new jobs and wage growth exceed expectations, it will strengthen expectations of high interest rates and suppress risky assets; if the data is weak, it may ease concerns about interest rate hikes, coupled with technical oversold conditions, triggering a temporary rebound.
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