Using history as a guide, the Fed's rate cut may break the September curse of US stocks
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最新报道：According to Coinnet, there's an old Wall Street saying that September is often the worst-performing month of the year for the US stock market, a view supported by decades of data. However, based on historical data, this month may not see the usual seasonal weakness, as Federal Reserve policymakers appear poised to continue cutting interest rates at their next meeting. "Expectations of a Fed rate cut later this month could help reverse this trend," said strategist Nathaniel. "September returns are typically higher when the Fed cuts rates in a non-recessionary environment." According to data analyzed by Welnhofer, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1% decline in September since 1971, but has gained an average of 1.2% when the Fed cuts rates without a contraction. The most recent exception to the September curse occurred last year, when Fed officials cut rates by 50 basis points, leading to a 2% gain for the month.
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