Traders are starting to bet on at least one major Fed rate cut before the end of the year.
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最新报道：According to Bijie.com, on October 16th, traders began betting on at least one significant Federal Reserve interest rate cut before the end of the year, betting the policy could be more aggressive than other market observers currently anticipate. Recent trading activity in options tied to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) suggests the market is increasing its bets on a half-percentage-point rate cut, possibly at the Fed's meeting later this month or in December. This expectation exceeds the two 25-basis-point rate cuts currently priced into interest rate swaps. The prolonged US government shutdown has delayed the release of key employment and other economic data. Once the impasse is resolved, a deluge of data will emerge, revealing the latest shifts in economic conditions. Some expect these data to further signal economic weakness, bolstering support for more rate cuts.
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