最新报道：Major indices close at record highs. ECB President Lagarde: The world is more uncertain, which should lead to more volatile inflation. Crude oil settled at $65.11. NEC's Hassett: He expects the trade framework to be in place after July 4. Trump to write to Japan: Buy rice now. Fed's Goolsbee (voting in 2025) sees no prospect for stagflation in the 1970s. ECB Simkus: Don't know if the ECB will have all the information it needs by September. Trump says "too late" to Jerome Powell... you should be ashamed. Rates should be paid at 1%. Goldman Sachs brings forward its next Fed rate cut from December to September. European indices close mixed. German, French and UK indices close lower. More Bostic: Wage gains have returned to pre-pandemic levels. NEC Director Hassett: Expect a big beautiful bill to be passed by midnight tonight. Feds Bostic: Early warning about labeling has enabled companies to manage the process. Treasury Secretary Bessent: Confident that fiscal policy bill will make progress in the coming hours. ECB Rehn: Risk of below-target inflation should not be underestimated. Nikkei: Japanese PM Ishiba weighing US President's proposal for Japan to buy US oil. USD little changed at the start of the holiday week. US employment data to be released on Thursday before July 4. ForexLive European FX News Roundup: US dollar tepid, US futures rise ahead of month-end. German preliminary June CPI +2.0%, +2.2% y/y expected. What are the interest rate expectations from the major central banks? USD Index (DXY) closed June sharply lower, hitting a new year low of 96.77, the lowest level since March 1, 2022. The index fell -2.67% in June, marking a clear shift in sentiment towards the US dollar. All major currencies rose against the dollar this month, with the euro (EUR) and Swiss franc (CHF) posting the biggest gains. EURUSD gained 3.86%, the largest monthly gain among the major currencies. This move came despite another rate cut by the European Central Bank, which lowered its policy rate to 2.00%. The market seems to believe that the ECB is now ready to pause after ten consecutive rate cuts, while the Fed remains stuck at 4.50%, delaying its own easing cycle. Traders are increasingly expecting the Fed to act sooner than previously expected, putting pressure on the dollar. USDCHF also fell strongly as rising geopolitical tensions saw funds flow into the Swiss franc in search of safety. Concerns that the United States could be drawn into the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict have increased the appeal of the CHF. Further weakness in the dollar was due to growing political pressure. Donald Trump unexpectedly sent a handwritten note to Fed Chairman Powell, accusing him of costing the country "millions of dollars" by delaying rate cuts and claiming that rates should have been at 1%. Trump also hinted that Powell could be replaced as early as January, raising questions about the future direction of monetary policy. Markets are now closely watching whether the Fed will buckle under pressure or hold its ground. Regardless, the sell-off in the dollar in June reflects everything from concerns about the US deficit, to expectations of big rate cuts in the future, political meddling, and growing global risks. A snapshot of this month's changes shows:EUR -3,86%JPY -0.04%GBP -2.1%CHF -3.51%CAD -0.93%AUD -2.32%NZD -2.33%Yields in the US debt market moved lower in June. Looking at the yield changes across the interest rate curve:The 2-year yield fell -17.7 bps at 3.72%.The 5-year yield fell -17.5 bps at 3.799%.The 10-year yield fell -16.6 bps at 4.232%.The 30-year yield fell -14.7 bps at 4.77%. In the US stock market, the main indexes closed at record levels (for the second day in a row) in June, ending the month. Gains were led by the NASDAQ index: the NASDAQ closed up 6.57% for the month and 9.56% for May. The S&P rose 4.96% and 6.1% for May. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 4.32% and 3.94% for May.