最新报道:Polymarket bettors assign a 72% probability that the U.S. government shutdown will end on or after Oct. 15, with $1.4 million in volume for a $4 million contract. Another contract shows a 67% chance the shutdown lasts 10-29 days, versus 27% for over a month, avoiding the record set under Trump. Observers link the shutdown to BTC's rally past $125,000, as congressional funding resolutions remain stalled.