最新报道：According to Bijie.com, on September 30th, Trump announced tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and wood products, effective October 14th, ranging from 10% to 25%. This move will in the short term push up construction material costs, put pressure on US housing and consumer prices, and exacerbate the conflict between inflation and economic slowdown. While the impact of the event itself is limited, market concerns about "supply-side inflation" are growing before the Fed's expected rate cuts become clear, leading to increased volatility. Macroeconomically, this measure is a one-off supply shock that will not alter the long-term inflation trajectory, but it will reinforce the Fed's conservative policy stance in the short term. Stock and commodity markets are likely to continue their high volatility, impacting crypto assets as well. In the crypto market, BTC has established long stop-loss zones in the 110k–112k range, providing short-term core support; secondary support lies at 107k–108k. The 116k–118k range represents strong resistance, with short-selling stops densely packed. A breakout would require significant capital inflows to test the 122k–125k range. The current price is range-bound, and even a slight capital push could trigger a wave of liquidations, further amplifying volatility. Bitunix analysts suggest that the inflationary impact of lumber tariffs is a short-term shock, but coupled with political and policy uncertainty, market sentiment is susceptible to rapid reversals. Investors should monitor whether the Federal Reserve will delay rate cuts due to inflation concerns. In the short term, the crypto market remains locked in a tug-of-war between easing expectations and inflation risks, making it prone to significant market shakeouts. Support areas of concern are 110k–112k and 107k–108k, with resistance concentrated at 116k–118k. A successful breakout could potentially challenge the 120k range. Cautious leverage management and patiently awaiting clarity are recommended.