From Fed rate cuts to Taylor Swift pregnancy bets: Bernstein says crypto, AI and news are converging on prediction markets
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最新报道：Prediction markets are evolving from niche political and sports betting into a major interface for real-time information on macro events, crypto, and AI, with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi leading the expansion. Polymarket, a crypto-native platform, reached $2.6 billion in monthly volume during the U.S. election, while regulated U.S.-based Kalshi hit a record $1.3 billion in September. Regulatory progress—including Polymarket’s return to the U.S. via a CFTC no-action letter and Kalshi’s court win allowing political contracts—is accelerating mainstream adoption. Major platforms like Robinhood, Coinbase, and X are integrating prediction markets, driving volume and innovation.
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