最新报道:According to a report from BNP Paribas, strategists at BNP Paribas warned that if the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut on Wednesday, the US dollar could deviate from historical trends. Historically, if a recession doesn't occur after the initial rate cut, the dollar tends to rise in the following months, supported by capital inflows into the US stock market. If a recession does occur, the dollar typically benefits from safe-haven inflows. However, this time, the situation may be different: if the likelihood of a recession increases, the dollar could actually decline, as its current trading logic is more aligned with the fluctuations of risky assets.