Goldman Sachs traders: Beware of cracks in economic data that could halt US stock gains
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最新报道：According to a report from Bijie.com, a macro trader at Goldman Sachs Group said that investors need to remain vigilant over the next 12 months to identify which economic data could pose a threat to the record-breaking stock market rally. Paul Schiavone of the bank pointed out that job market data will play a key role in warning of economic cracks. He cited data from the New York Federal Reserve as an example, showing that while the probability of unemployment remains low, the probability of workers finding a new job once unemployed is only 45%, the lowest estimate ever. The S&P 500 index hit a new record high on Wednesday. However, the US labor market, fiscal spending, and the market's possible excessive optimism about artificial intelligence have caused caution among some senior market participants. Schiavone has previously stated that the market is underpricing the risk of recession. "I wouldn't bet against a bubble too early, but I won't ignore the cracks either," he wrote.
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