最新报道：According to Bijie.com, the British pound against the US dollar (GBP/USD) has recovered losses, though it remains within the trading range of August 22nd. The renewed upward movement has gradually lifted the GBP/USD pair above the 1.3500 level. The pound has been fluctuating within a range, entering a consolidation pattern after rebounding late last week. The tug-of-war between bulls and bears continues, but dip buying remains popular due to the broad decline in the US dollar. The US dollar recorded its monthly decline after the Federal Reserve (Fed) doubled down on its dovish outlook. Concerns about the Fed's independence have also weakened investor confidence in the dollar. This week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish comments reaffirmed his prediction of a rate cut next month. Reuters reported that New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said on Wednesday that "interest rates are likely to fall at some point, but policymakers need to look at incoming economic data to determine whether a rate cut is appropriate next month." Later Thursday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would support a rate cut at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market. According to CME Group's Fed Watch Tool, the market maintains an 85% to 90% probability of a September rate cut. The drama between US President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve has intensified since Trump announced earlier this week that he planned to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook for making false statements on mortgage applications. However, Cook has stood by her position, stating that Trump did not have the authority to fire her. Cook filed a lawsuit on Thursday challenging Trump's dismissal. Meanwhile, comments made by US Vice President J.D. Vance in an interview with USA Today on Thursday confirmed the end of the Fed's autonomy. Bloomberg reported on Friday that UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves could raise revenue by imposing a windfall tax on commercial lenders to recoup profits earned on taxpayer deposits held at the Bank of England (BoE). The news had no impact on the British pound, as the GBP/USD pair remained influenced by US dollar dynamics ahead of the release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the annual PCE price index rose 2.6% in July, in line with market expectations and the June reading. The core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.9% in the same period, in line with expectations, following a 2.8% increase in June. With the data failing to spark a significant reaction, the GBP/USD pair struggled to regain momentum heading into the weekend. US labor data will be in focus. Traders are bracing for another holiday-shortened week of top US economic data. This time, US markets are closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day. The UK data calendar is once again lacking any high-impact releases until Friday, so all eyes will be on the other side of the Atlantic for new trading incentives. US employment data will likely take center stage, with releases beginning on Wednesday. However, Tuesday will also see the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing PMI data, which will be highly anticipated. Wednesday will also see the release of the US JOLTS job openings survey, paving the way for Thursday's Automatic Data Processing (ADP) employment change report. The usual weekly jobless claims data will also be released on Thursday, followed by the ISM services PMI. Friday's schedule is busiest, with the release of UK retail sales data. Later that day, US non-farm payrolls (NFP) will be released, along with other details from the monthly employment report, such as the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. Markets will also be watching geopolitical developments, trade developments, and speeches by Federal Reserve policymakers for their impact on risk sentiment and, ultimately, the US dollar and pound. GBP/USD: Technical Outlook: The daily chart of GBP/USD shows a double top reversal stalled again at the confluence of the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA, then near 1.3420. Subsequently, the 21-day SMA closed above the 100-day SMA on Thursday, confirming a bullish crossover and opening the door for more gains. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) remains flat with its midline, cautioning buyers to exercise caution. Looking ahead, it will be crucial for buyers to reclaim the 50-day SMA above 1.3496. The next relevant overhead resistance level is seen at the double top high near 1.3590. Above this, buyers will challenge the July 4 high of 1.3681, followed by 1.3788 (July 1 high). On the downside, a break below the confluence of the 21-day SMA and the 100-day SMA (currently around 1.3450) could trigger a new downtrend towards the 1.3300 round number. Further declines could test the August 4 low of 1.3254.