August to October "panic season" linked to thin liquidity and historical market crashes
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最新报道：Acadian Asset Management's Owen Lamont warns of heightened market volatility risks between August and October, citing historical patterns like the 1987 Black Monday, 2008 Lehman collapse, and 1998 LTCM crisis. He attributes this seasonal trend to agricultural-era cash flow cycles and persistent behavioral patterns despite modern remote work trends. While acknowledging a 10% annual crash probability during this "panic season," Lamont notes current markets show less excessive leverage compared to past crises, emphasizing behavioral finance factors over structural vulnerabilities.
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