最新报道：According to Bijie.com, the market is currently at a sensitive juncture, with prices around $112,600, and signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) creating two clear scenarios. One is a "profit-taking" move, which could pull prices back to the $95,000 region if technical selling pressure increases and historical patterns repeat (which remains unconfirmed). The other is a "bullish rally," which could rally to the $119,000 region if the current bottom holds and a bullish divergence is confirmed. Technical signals are creating a divergence in short-term market sentiment. Bitcoin (BTC) is facing two opposing scenarios shaped by momentum indicators, with the RSI (Relative Strength Index) serving as the central indicator across multiple timeframes. According to analyst Ali, the two previous times the weekly RSI fell below its 14-period SMA, Bitcoin experienced a 20% to 30% pullback. In previous analysis, Arthur Hayes predicted a significant correction in the cryptocurrency market. He predicts Bitcoin will reach $100,000 and Ethereum $3,000. Continuing to monitor the RSI, on the daily chart, analyst Sykodelic notes that the RSI is now at a similar level to the previous bottom around $98,000 and is approaching the low around $76,000. This suggests that short-term selling pressure has weakened and that the current area could be an accumulation point. From another perspective, analyst Caleb Franzen notes that Bitcoin has broken through the low identified by a bullish RSI divergence. When the price makes a lower low but the RSI doesn't follow (bullish divergence), it indicates that downward momentum is weakening. Conversely, when the price rises but the RSI falls, a bearish divergence occurs, warning of a possible downside reversal. Given this setup, Caleb believes such a move could pave the way for a rally to $119,000. At the same time, this level represents a critical threshold; a break below it would invalidate the bullish scenario. In this scenario, a drop to $95,000 could serve as a "reset phase" to rebuild buying power. On the other hand, the $112,600 support area is currently considered a key level to maintain the rebound outlook. If the price holds this area and a bullish divergence on the RSI is confirmed, a rally back to the $119,000 area would have technical merit. Further confirmation would be needed from volume, moving averages, and a daily close above key thresholds. Such confirmation would help reduce the risk of a false signal.