UBS warns US economy faces demand-driven slowdown amid weak growth and rising tariffs
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最新报道：UBS warns the U.S. economy could slow to a "stall speed" of 1.2% GDP growth in H1 2025, down from 2023-2024 levels, with monthly job gains dropping to 35,000 and unemployment rising to 4.25%—the highest since 2021. The bank projects tariff hikes (WATR increasing to 19%) may reduce GDP by 0.1-0.2% and push core inflation to 3.4% by year-end. UBS anticipates the Fed will cut rates by 25-100 bps by late 2025 to counter the demand-driven slowdown.
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