Barclays: ECB may choose to cut interest rates in December
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最新报道：According to Bijie.com on August 4th, Barclays now believes the European Central Bank is likely to cut interest rates in December, rather than in September as previously forecast. Mariano Sina, an economist at the bank, said this revision takes into account weaker economic activity in the second half of the year, caused by the continued drag from trade policy and the impact of earlier frontloading of US imports. Barclays expects that by December, signals regarding trade headwinds will become clearer and concerns about the impact of supply chain disruptions on inflation will diminish. Furthermore, increased confidence that the 2026 fiscal plan will not reignite inflationary pressures could support a 25 basis point rate cut. Barclays expects the ECB's terminal deposit rate to remain at 1.75% through 2026.
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