最新报道:According to market research firm SentimenTrader, the US stock market is nearing the end of its most intense July on record. The S&P 500 has already hit 10 new all-time highs this month (the third-best July since 1928), while the Nasdaq Composite has reached 14 new all-time highs. These "super months" are rare in the summer, and historical data shows that after a similar surge in July, August becomes a struggle. Historically, when the S&P 500 hits at least seven multi-year highs in July, the probability of an August gain is only 36%, and the probability of gains in the following two months is less than half. The Nasdaq Composite has shown greater resilience, typically rebounding strongly after four months, but August still becomes a gamble.