Goldman Sachs’ Chief US Economist Says Tariffs Unlikely To Spark a Prolonged Inflation Period, Predicts Three Rate Cuts This Yea
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最新报道：Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle suggests that recent tariffs are unlikely to trigger prolonged inflation, citing limited impact on core PCE inflation. He forecasts three Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025, starting as early as September, with subsequent reductions in November and December. Mericle notes that while tariffs may temporarily boost some prices, broader inflationary pressures remain subdued due to moderating wage growth and stable inflation expectations. The economist maintains a positive outlook on disinflation trends, expecting core PCE to reach 2.3% by year-end. His analysis comes amid ongoing debates about trade policy's economic effects and monetary policy adjustments.
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