币界网报道：[Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party before the end of this year" is 42%] According to the official website data, Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party before the end of this year" is 42%; Kalshi predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party this year" is now 35%. Musk said on July 1 that if the "Beautiful Big Bill" is passed, a new American political party will be established the next day. Trump's "Beautiful Big Bill" was passed by the House of Representatives this morning and will be signed at 5 a.m. on Saturday. In addition, Musk initiated a vote on social media on June 6: "Is it time to create a new political party in the United States that truly represents the middle 80% of the group?" The voting results showed that 5,630,775 users participated in the vote, of which 80.4% of users chose to support it.