币界网报道:I misjudged this. I thought Iran and Israel would not agree to a ceasefire, and I thought there was a good chance that this conflict would escalate. I thought Israel would not stop when it was winning (risking Iranian reconstruction and future Iranian-funded and trained October 7-style massacres, or worse). And I thought that if the totalitarian Islamic Republic of Iran regime lost a tit-for-tat with Israel, it would not be able to maintain power without escalating the conflict. As a result, I am suffering from an 11.00% drop in the price of oil, which could fall further tomorrow, and sympathetic declines in related stocks I hold.