Wu said this week's macro indicators and analysis: US June non-agricultural, the big beautiful bill

币界网报道:Summary of this week's macroeconomic indicators and analysis of the Coin World Network: Last week, the US core PCE in May was higher than expected. Powell said at the hearing that he would wait and consider interest rate actions; this week, we can focus on the US non-farm payroll data report in June and the progress of the US Big Beautiful Act. Review of last week's written testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at a congressional hearing, saying that recent economic activity has been robust, allowing policymakers to continue to focus on inflation and employment data to determine whether and when to resume interest rate cuts. Powell emphasized that the Fed will ensure that the price shock caused by the increase in tariffs will not evolve into a "persistent inflation problem." He did not explicitly hint at a rate cut in July. Powell's testimony at the congressional hearing: The Fed is currently in a favorable position and can wait patiently to consider adjusting its monetary policy stance after having a clearer judgment on the direction of the economy. The increase in tariffs this year may push up prices and put pressure on economic activity. The final value of the annualized quarterly rate of the US core PCE price index in the first quarter was 3.5%, expected to be 3.4%, and the previous value was 3.40%. The final value of the annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the first quarter of the United States was -0.5%, expected to be -0.20%, and the previous value was -0.20%. Nick Timiraos, a reporter from the Wall Street Journal, wrote that Trump was annoyed by the Fed's slow action on interest rate cuts, which prompted him to consider announcing the candidate to replace the current chairman Jerome Powell in advance, even though Powell still has 11 months in office. However, the sooner he announces the candidate, the easier it is for this person to become a target of public criticism, and the less likely he is to become Powell's successor. The United States announced that the annual rate of the core PCE price index in May was 2.7%, higher than the expected 2.6%, the highest since February 2025. The monthly rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in May was 0.2%, expected to be 0.1%. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 21 was 236,000, the previous value was 246,000, and the expected value was 245,000. The final value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in June was 60.7, the expected value was 60.5, and the previous value was 60.5. Key events & indicators this week June 30 China's official manufacturing PMI in June (09:30) The European Central Bank held a central bank forum in Sintra until July 2 July 01 US June ISM manufacturing PMI (22:00) July 02 US June ADP employment (10,000 people) (20:15) July 03 US June unemployment rate (20:30) US June seasonally adjusted non-farm employment (10,000 people) (20:30) US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 28 (10,000 people) (20:30) The European Central Bank released the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting (19:30) July 04 Trump set a deadline for the "big beautiful" tax and spending bill [Wu said blockchain]

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