Traders Expect Five 25% Cuts by 2026 as Powell's Exit Looms

币界网报道:Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled potential interest rate cuts in 2026 as traders increasingly price in a 25 basis point reduction, according to market expectations. Powell emphasized the central bank's data-dependent approach, noting that policy adjustments will hinge on inflation trends and labor market conditions. The Fed chief also addressed speculation about his possible departure after his term ends in 2026, stating he remains focused on current economic challenges rather than personal plans. Market analysts suggest Powell's comments reflect a cautious stance amid persistent inflation pressures, with some interpreting his remarks as preparing markets for a gradual policy shift. The Fed's latest projections show most officials expect fewer rate cuts than previously anticipated this year, while maintaining the long-term neutral rate estimate at 2.5%. Powell reiterated the central bank's commitment to bringing inflation back to its 2% target, acknowledging the process may take longer than initially expected. Bond markets have recently priced in higher odds of rate cuts beginning in September, though traders remain divided on the pace and extent of monetary easing. The remarks come as global central banks face increasing pressure to balance inflation control with economic growth concerns, particularly in light of slowing global demand and geopolitical uncertainties.

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