币界网报道：Sui [SUI] had mixed performance in the first half of 2025, but Raoul Pal, founder and CEO of Real Vision, believes that it still has the potential to become a top-five coin in 2025. The “Solana killer” broke through $5 in early January, but headwinds in the first quarter saw it lose 44%. However, in the second quarter, the altcoin recovered 17%, and Pal expects more gains in the second half of the year. Pal predicted in his X post that the altcoin could hover above $2.2, a key support level until April 2025 and resistance until 2024. He stressed that in the long run, if BTC hits a new ATH, the altcoin will consolidate below $3.5 and then possibly break out. Dream or delayed potential? In fact, Coingecko added a curiosity-inducing statistic to the conversation. It shared that if SUI reaches Solana’s [SOL] market cap of $77 billion, the altcoin could be valued at $22.9 — a whopping 8x. While this is an optimistic prediction, the real-time SUI/SOL ratio tells a different story. The altcoin outperformed SOL by 56% in late April but lagged in the latter part of the second quarter. Since May, SUI has underperformed SOL by 26%. In other words, at the end of the third quarter, investors were better off holding SOL than SUI. If the ratio holds at 0.016, this weakness could continue for a few weeks before a potential rebound. If that happens, then the altcoin could outperform SOL by 56% again. Since May, the altcoin has underperformed SOL by roughly 26%, with the SUI/SOL chart reflecting a 26.7% retracement. That said, the ratio is hovering around its critical support level of 0.0158. If this level holds, traders could see the SUI/SOL pair perform again with a 50%+ rally. DeFi boomed, then crashed. Sui’s recovery in Q2 wasn’t just narrative-driven — part of the strong recovery was helped by the chain’s DeFi traction. In April, Sui’s monthly DEX volume hit $11 billion, up from $7 billion in March. This coincided with a broader market recovery and memecoin mania across the Sui DeFi ecosystem. In May, DEX volumes climbed to a record all-time high of $14.12 billion, pushing SUI’s price to $4.2. As DeFi traction requires SUI to pay fees, overall demand for the altcoin also fell in June, pulling it down from over $4 to $2.2. Despite the cooling in June, Pal’s long-term chart analysis shows that the altcoin is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle — a pattern that often signals a breakout move.