币界网报道：According to the news from the currency network, on June 26 (UTC+8), JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their mid-year outlook report that the US tariff policy may have a negative impact on global economic growth and may lead to a rebound in US inflation. JPMorgan Chase predicts that the probability of the United States falling into recession in the second half of the year is 40%, and lowers the US economic growth rate forecast for 2025 from 2% at the beginning of the year to 1.3%. The report said that stagflation caused by the increase in tariffs is an important factor in lowering GDP growth expectations. JPMorgan Chase is pessimistic about the US dollar because the US economy is slowing down, and policies in other parts of the world may drive up emerging market currencies, etc. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 100 basis points between December and the spring of 2026, and if the recession or slowdown exceeds expectations, it may lead to a larger interest rate cut. In addition, despite policy uncertainty, the bank remains optimistic about the US stock market because consumers and the economy have shown resilience.