币界网报道：On June 16, Royal Bank of Canada strategists listed three potential scenarios for a U.S. stock market correction in a report, pointing out that if rising oil prices lead to a surge in inflation, the S&P 500 could fall 20%. Strategists said that given the recent rebound and valuations that look overpriced, the U.S. stock market is vulnerable. They said that the wider and longer the Middle East conflict spreads, the greater the negative impact on the U.S. stock market. They believe that in the worst case scenario, if the conflict pushes up energy prices, the S&P 500 will return to its April low. In less severe cases, the index could fall by about 13%. Analysis shows that if inflation "severely" soars to 4%, earnings growth is zero from 2024, the Federal Reserve only cuts interest rates twice, and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield remains at its current level, then by the end of the year, the benchmark stock index could fall to 4,800 points, nearly 20% below its current level.